MARKET OVERVIEW
Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?
VENUE INTEGRITY WARNING2 kalshi contracts — showing best representative
CAUTIONWEAK DATAINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCEMIXED LENS
Resolution rule: If the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves...
WATCH: Market state may be stale or partially degraded.
POLITICS · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 5h AGO
RECOMMENDED LENSMIXEDINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE
Freshness is too weak to overstate actionability.
CORE VERDICTS
YES
6.5%
EDGE
INSUFFICIENT
CONFIDENCE
INSUFFICIENT
LIQUIDITY
UNKNOWN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — single venue
WHY NOW
No acute driver detected.
INVALIDATION
If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.
RANGEThreshold Range
THRESHOLD DISTRIBUTION
Will the margin of victory for Dan Bilzerian in the 2026 FL-06 Republican primary be between 0% and 5%?7%
LOWHIGH
LOADING FAMILY WORKSPACE...
LAYOUT · RANGE THRESHOLD · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
WEAK
Confidence INSUFFICIENT. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
WEAK
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
UNKNOWN
Tightest spread is 5.0¢.
BEST BUY
—
BEST SELL
—
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
BRACKET DISTRIBUTION
MODELED
NOW 7cHORIZON 48H
48h modeled price-bracket distribution for analysis only.
BRACKET INPUTS
PRICE7c
LIQUIDITYUNKNOWN
VOLINFERRED
MOMENTUMUNKNOWN
CATALYSTUNKNOWN
WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN
PROVENANCE
FRESHSTALE
AS OF09:16 UTC
COVERAGESINGLE VENUE COVERAGE
OWNERUNKNOWN
BELOW 1C
8%
1C - 1C
18%
1C - 7C
28%
7C - 12C
30%
12C - 18C
12%
ABOVE 18C
4%
ALERT HOOKS
SHADOW MISMATCH DTO
SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
—
CATALYST ETA
—
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE insufficient
CONTEXT
GENERIC
Official government action and filing path
FOCUS
Official government action and filing path
WATCH
2 ITEMS
SOURCES
2
ACCESS
FULL DETAIL
WATCH
Latest official action from the relevant institution
Any filing or vote that changes the resolution path
SOURCES
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
0
WATCH-ONLY
CHART
VENUEKLSH
MOVE—
RANGE—
FRESHUNKNOWN
PRICEUNKNOWN
LOADING CHART...
HISTORY BUILDING
Candle history has not accumulated yet.
Use the current quote, spread, and depth while the chart archive catches up.
YES
6.5%
SPREAD
5.0¢
VOL 24H
$0
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
STALE 5H
Coverage intact
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS