EVENT SHELL
politics

Will the margin of victory for

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 4th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

OUTCOMES
9
VENUES
4
VOL 24H
$0
FRESHNESS
STALE
1577676S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
Republicans in the New Jersey's 4th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?22%Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?20%Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?14%
REGIMEdegraded (2/9)
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