EVENT SHELL
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Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No". If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to "No", even if the addition was announced earlier. For the purpose of this market, "Valve" refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, the "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in Counter-Strike 2 (CS2), which consists of the maps eligible for both competitive matchmaking and professional tournaments. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

OUTCOMES
1
VENUES
2
VOL 24H
$0
OPEN INT
$16.8K
FRESHNESS
STALE
14374S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
MARKET OVERVIEW

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?

VENUE INTEGRITY WARNING2 polymarket contracts — showing best representative
·
CAUTIONWEAK DATAINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE

Resolution rule: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET.

WATCH: Market state may be stale or partially degraded.

OTHER · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 4h AGO
CORE VERDICTS
YES
8.5%
EDGE
INSUFFICIENT
CONFIDENCE
INSUFFICIENT
LIQUIDITY
UNKNOWN
RISK
WATCH
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE — single venue
WHY NOW
No acute driver detected.
INVALIDATION
If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.
LAYOUT · MULTI OUTCOME · AUTO
MARKET SUMMARY
TRUST
WEAK
Confidence INSUFFICIENT. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.
CALIBRATION
UNKNOWN
QUALITY
WEAK
REGIME
NORMAL
EXECUTION
UNKNOWN
Execution posture is derived from visible depth, spread, and venue routing.
BEST BUY
BEST SELL
VISIBLE DEPTH
NONE
BRACKET DISTRIBUTION
MODELED
NOW 9cHORIZON 48H
48h modeled price-bracket distribution for analysis only.
BRACKET INPUTS
PRICE9c
LIQUIDITYUNKNOWN
VOLINFERRED
MOMENTUMUNKNOWN
CATALYSTUNKNOWN
WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN
PROVENANCE
FRESHSTALE
AS OF08:15 UTC
COVERAGESINGLE VENUE COVERAGE
OWNERUNKNOWN
BELOW 1C
8%
1C - 3C
18%
3C - 9C
28%
9C - 14C
30%
14C - 20C
12%
ABOVE 20C
4%
ALERT HOOKS
SHADOW MISMATCH DTO
SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS
CHANGE
NEXT CATALYST
CATALYST ETA
TOP DRIVER
CONFIDENCE insufficient
CONTEXT
No category context available.
FOCUS
WATCH
0 ITEMS
SOURCES
0
ACCESS
FULL DETAIL
COMPARISON
NOT_SAFE
Compare-safe state is not_safe.
COMPARE SAFE
NOT_SAFE
CONTRACT DIFF
NONE
COHERENCE
UNKNOWN
OTHER CONTRACTS
0
WATCH-ONLY
CHART
OUTCOME HISTORY
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?
Selected contract against sibling outcomes in this window
1 track
OUTCOME VIEW
RANGE
1W
HISTORY BUILDING
Lucidex has not accumulated enough family history for this range yet.
TRUTH / WATCH RAIL
LIVE TRUTH + WATCH ITEMS
STALE 4H
Coverage intact
EXECUTION TICKET
EXECUTION TICKET
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
SUPPORT / EVIDENCE
VISUAL ANALYTICS
VISUAL ANALYTICS
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment