EVENT SHELL
politicsWill the margin of victory for Democrats in the
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
OUTCOMES
8
VENUES
5
VOL 24H
$0
OPEN INT
$514
FRESHNESS
STALE
1574904S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 33 percentage points?39%U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 21 percentage points?80%U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 37 percentage points?25%U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 17 percentage points?93%U.S. Senate election in Rhode Island be at least 27 percentage points?60%
REGIMEdegraded (1/8)
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
Select an outcome above to open its workspace.
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment