EVENT SHELL
politicsWill the margin of victory for Republicans in the Iowa's 3rd District House election be at least
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
OUTCOMES
4
VENUES
11
VOL 24H
$0
OPEN INT
$2.6K
FRESHNESS
STALE
15934S LAG
STATUS
ACTIVE
PROBABILITY
1 percentage points?39%10 percentage points?14%4 percentage points?29%7 percentage points?15%
OUTCOME PROBABILITIES
LOADING OUTCOME HISTORY...
OUTCOME LADDER
SELECT TO DRIVE WORKSPACE
LOADING WORKSPACE...
OWNERSHIPEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
OWNERSHIP SNAPSHOT UNAVAILABLE
Holder analytics is currently unavailable for this market family. Refresh later or switch scope.
REASON: Enrichment in progress
Concentration, wallet continuity, recent flow, and relation context populate from ownership snapshots.
ACTIVITYEVENT VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No recent trade activity to display.
REASON: awaiting enrichment
INCENTIVESSELECTED VIEW
AWAITING DATAAWAITING ENRICHMENT
No incentive data available right now.
REASON: awaiting enrichment