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Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Offensive Player of the Year?

If Tie/Co-Winners wins the Pro Football AP Offensive Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

OUTCOMES

VENUES

VOL 24H

$613

OPEN INT

$50.3K

FRESHNESS

STALE

13615S LAG

STATUS

ACTIVE

PROBABILITY

Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Offensive Player of the Year?1%Will Kayvon Thibodeaux win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Maxx Crosby win the Defensive Player of the Year?4%Will Xavier McKinney win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Zach Allen win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Zack Baun win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Myles Garrett win the Defensive Player of the Year?12%Will Micah Parsons win the Defensive Player of the Year?7%Will Montez Sweat win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Quinyon Mitchell win the Defensive Player of the Year?2%Will Leonard Williams win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Nik Bonitto win the Defensive Player of the Year?5%Will Nick Bosa win the Defensive Player of the Year?3%Will Pat Surtain win the Defensive Player of the Year?2%Will Sauce Gardner win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Trey Hendrickson win the Defensive Player of the Year?3%Will Travon Walker win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will T.J. Watt win the Defensive Player of the Year?2%Will Trent McDuffie win the Defensive Player of the Year?1%Will Will Anderson Jr. win the Defensive Player of the Year?12%

OUTCOME PROBABILITIES

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MARKET OVERVIEW

Will Tie/Co-Winners win the Offensive Player of the Year?

OPEN KALSHI··

CAUTIONWEAK DATAINSUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE

Resolution rule: If Tie/Co-Winners wins the Pro Football AP Offensive Player of the Year in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

WATCH: Market state may be stale or partially degraded.

OTHER · SINGLE_VENUE COVERAGEDATA 4h AGO

CORE VERDICTS

YES

0.5%

EDGE

INSUFFICIENT

CONFIDENCE

INSUFFICIENT

LIQUIDITY

UNKNOWN

RISK

WATCH

COMPARE SAFE

NOT_SAFE — single venue

WHY NOW

No acute driver detected.

INVALIDATION

If freshness or venue coverage worsens, displayed prices become less trustworthy as a decision input.

LAYOUT · MULTI OUTCOME · AUTO

MARKET SUMMARY

TRUST

WEAK

Confidence INSUFFICIENT. Calibration UNKNOWN. Quality WEAK.

CALIBRATION

UNKNOWN

QUALITY

WEAK

REGIME

NORMAL

EXECUTION

UNKNOWN

Tightest spread is 1.0¢.

BEST BUY

—

BEST SELL

—

VISIBLE DEPTH

NONE

BRACKET DISTRIBUTION

MODELED

NOW 1cHORIZON 48H

48h modeled price-bracket distribution for analysis only.

BRACKET INPUTS

PRICE1c

LIQUIDITYUNKNOWN

VOLINFERRED

MOMENTUMUNKNOWN

CATALYSTUNKNOWN

WALLET FLOWUNKNOWN

PROVENANCE

FRESHSTALE

AS OF09:16 UTC

COVERAGESINGLE VENUE COVERAGE

OWNERUNKNOWN

BELOW 1C

1C - 1C

18%

1C - 1C

28%

1C - 7C

30%

7C - 12C

12%

ABOVE 12C

ALERT HOOKS

SHADOW MISMATCH DTO

SINGLE VENUE · WATCH · MARKET DETAIL SIGNALS

CHANGE

NEXT CATALYST

—

CATALYST ETA

—

TOP DRIVER

CONFIDENCE insufficient

CONTEXT

No category context available.

FOCUS

—

WATCH

0 ITEMS

SOURCES

ACCESS

FULL DETAIL

COMPARISON

NOT_SAFE

Compare-safe state is not_safe.

COMPARE SAFE

NOT_SAFE

CONTRACT DIFF

NONE

COHERENCE

UNKNOWN